6.4 Assessing Normality

The distributions you have seen up to this point have been assumed to be normally distributed, but how do you determine if it is normally distributed. One way is to take a sample and look at the sample to determine if it appears normal. If the sample looks normal, then most likely the population is also. Here are some guidelines that are use to help make that determination.

Histogram: Make a histogram. For a normal distribution, the histogram should be roughly bell-shaped. For small samples, this is not very accurate, and another method is needed. A distribution may not look normally distributed from the histogram, but it still may be normally distributed.
Outliers: For a normal distribution, there should not be more than one outlier. One way to check for outliers is to use a modified box plot. Outliers are values that are shown as dots outside of the rest of the values. If you don’t have a modified box plot, outliers are those data values that are:
Above Q3, the third quartile, by an amount greater than 1.5 times the interquartile range (IQR)
Below Q1, the first quartile, by an amount greater than 1.5 times the interquartile range (IQR)
Note
Note
If there is one outlier, that outlier could have a dramatic effect on the results especially if it is an extreme outlier. However, there are times where a distribution has more than one outlier, but it is still normally distributed. The guideline of only one outlier is just a guideline.
Normal quantile plot (or normal probability plot): This plot is provided through statistical software on a computer or graphing calculator. If the points lie close to a line, the data comes from a distribution that is approximately normal. If the points do not lie close to a line or they show a pattern that is not a line, the data are likely to come from a distribution that is not normally distributed.

To create a histogram on the TI-83/84:

Go into the STAT menu, and then Chose 1: Edit

Figure $1$ : STAT Menu on TI-83/84
Type your data values into L1.
Now click STAT PLOT ( $2^{nd} Y =$ ).

Figure $2$ : STAT PLOT Menu on TI-83/84
Use 1:Plot1. Press ENTER.

Figure $3$ : Plot1 Menu on TI-83/84
You will see a new window. The first thing you want to do is turn the plot on. At this point you should be on On, just press ENTER. It will make On dark.
Now arrow down to Type: and arrow right to the graph that looks like a histogram (3rd one from the left in the top row).
Now arrow down to Xlist. Make sure this says L1. If it doesn’t, then put L1 there (2nd number 1). Freq: should be a 1.

Figure $4$ : Plot1 Menu on TI-83/84 Setup for Histogram
Now you need to set up the correct window to graph on. Click on WINDOW. You need to set up the settings for the x variable. Xmin should be your smallest data value. Xmax should just be a value sufficiently above your highest data value, but not too high. Xscl is your class width that you calculated. Ymin should be 0 and Ymax should be above what you think the highest frequency is going to be. You can always change this if you need to. Yscl is just how often you would like to see a tick mark on the y-axis.
Now press GRAPH. You will see a histogram.

To find the IQR and create a box plot on the TI-83/84:

Go into the STAT menu, and then Choose 1:Edit

Figure $5$ : STAT Menu on TI-83/84
Type your data values into L1. If L1 has data in it, arrow up to the name L1, click CLEAR and then press ENTER. The column will now be cleared and you can type the data in.
Go into the STAT menu, move over to CALC and choose 1-Var Stats. Press ENTER, then type L1 (2nd 1) and then ENTER. This will give you the summary statistics. If you press the down arrow, you will see the five-number summary.
To draw the box plot press 2nd STAT PLOT.

Figure $6$ : STAT PLOT Menu on TI-83/84
Use Plot1. Press ENTER

Figure $7$ : Plot1 Menu on TI-83/84 Setup for Box Plot
Put the cursor on On and press Enter to turn the plot on. Use the down arrow and the right arrow to highlight the boxplot in the middle of the second row of types then press ENTER. Set Data List to L1 (it might already say that) and leave Freq as 1.
Now tell the calculator the set up for the units on the x-axis so you can see the whole plot. The calculator will do it automatically if you press ZOOM, which is in the middle of the top row.

Figure $8$ : ZOOM Menu on TI-83/84
Then use the down arrow to get to 9:ZoomStat and press ENTER. The box plot will be drawn.

Figure $9$ : ZOOM Menu on TI-83/84 with ZoomStat

To create a normal quantile plot on the TI-83/84

Go into the STAT menu, and then Chose 1:Edit

Figure $10$ : STAT Menu on TI-83/84
Type your data values into L1. If L1 has data in it, arrow up to the name L1, click CLEAR and then press ENTER. The column will now be cleared and you can type the data in.
Now click STAT PLOT ( $2^{nd} Y =$ ). You have three stat plots to choose from.

Figure $11$ : STAT PLOT Menu on TI-83/84
Use 1:Plot1. Press ENTER.
Put the cursor on the word On and press ENTER. This turns on the plot. Arrow down to Type: and use the right arrow to move over to the last graph (it looks like an increasing linear graph). Set Data List to L1 (it might already say that) and set Data Axis to Y. The Mark is up to you.

Figure $12$ : Plot1 Menu on TI-83/84 Setup for Normal Quantile Plot
Now you need to set up the correct window on which to graph. Click on WINDOW. You need to set up the settings for the x variable. Xmin should be -4. Xmax should be 4. Xscl should be 1. Ymin and Ymax are based on your data, the Ymin should be below your lowest data value and Ymax should be above your highest data value. Yscl is just how often you would like to see a tick mark on the y-axis.
Now press GRAPH. You will see the normal quantile plot.

To create a histogram on R:

Put the variable in using variable<-c(type in the data with commas between values) using a name for the variable that makes sense for the problem. The command for histogram is hist(variable). You can then copy the histogram into a word processing program. There are options that you can put in for title, and axis labels. See section 2.2 for the commands for those.

To create a modified boxplot on R:

Put the variable in using variable<-c(type in the data with commas between values) using a name for the variable that makes sense for the problem. The command for box plot is boxplot(variable). You can then copy the box plot into a word processing program. There are options that you can put in for title, horizontal orientation, and axis labels. See section 3.3 for the commands for those.

To create a normal quantile plot on R:

Put the variable in using variable<-c(type in the data with commas between values) using a name for the variable that makes sense for the problem. The command for normal quantile plot is qqnorm(variable). You can then copy the normal quantile plot into a word processing program.

Realize that your random variable may be normally distributed, even if the sample fails the three tests. However, if the histogram definitely doesn't look symmetric and bell shaped, there are outliers that are very extreme, and the normal probability plot doesn’t look linear, then you can be fairly confident that the data set does not come from a population that is normally distributed.

Example 1 is it normal?

In Kiama, NSW, Australia, there is a blowhole. The data in table #6.4.1 are times in seconds between eruptions ("Kiama blowhole eruptions," 2013). Do the data come from a population that is normally distributed?

Table $1$ : Time (in Seconds) Between Kiama Blowhole Eruptions
83	51	87	60	28	95	8	27
15	10	18	16	29	54	91	8
17	55	10	35	47	77	36	17
21	36	18	40	10	7	34	27
28	56	8	25	68	146	89	18
73	69	9	37	10	82	29	8
60	61	61	18	169	25	8	26
11	83	11	42	17	14	9	12

State the random variable
Draw a histogram.
Find the number of outliers.
Draw the normal quantile plot.
Do the data come from a population that is normally distributed?

Show solution

a. x = time in seconds between eruptions of Kiama Blowhole

b. The histogram produced is in Figure $13$ .

Figure

13

: Histogram for Kiama Blowhole

This looks skewed right and not symmetric.

c. The box plot is in Figure $14$ .

Figure

14

: Modified Box Plot from TI-83/83 for Kiama Blowhole

There are two outliers. Instead using:

$I Q R = Q 3 - Q 1 = 60 - 14.5 = 45.5$ seconds

$1.5 * I Q R = 1.5 * 45.5 = 68.25$ seconds

$Q 1 - {1.5}^{*} I Q R = 14.5 - 68.25 = - 53.75$ seconds

$Q 3 + 1.5 * I Q R = 60 + 68.25 = 128.25$ seconds

Outliers are any numbers greater than 128.25 seconds and less than -53.75 seconds. Since all the numbers are measurements of time, then no data values are less than 0 or seconds for that matter. There are two numbers that are larger than 128.25 seconds, so there are two outliers. Two outliers are not real indications that the sample does not come from a normal distribution, but the fact that both are well above 128.25 seconds is an indication of an issue.

d. The normal quantile plot is in Figure $15$ .

Figure

15

: Normal Probability Plot

This graph looks more like an exponential growth than linear.

e. Considering the histogram is skewed right, there are two extreme outliers, and the normal probability plot does not look linear, then the conclusion is that this sample is not from a population that is normally distributed.

Example 2 is it normal?

One way to measure intelligence is with an IQ score. Example $2$ contains 50 IQ scores. Determine if the sample comes from a population that is normally distributed.

Table $2$ : IQ Scores
78	92	96	100	67	105	109	75	127	111
93	114	82	100	125	67	94	74	81	98
102	108	81	96	103	91	90	96	86	92
84	92	90	103	115	93	85	116	87	106
85	88	106	104	102	98	116	107	102	89

State the random variable.
Draw a histogram.
Find the number of outliers.
Draw the normal quantile plot.
Do the data come from a population that is normally distributed?

Show solution

a. x = IQ score

b. The histogram is in Figure $16$ .

Figure

16

: Histogram for IQ Score

This looks somewhat symmetric, though it could be thought of as slightly skewed right.

c. The modified box plot is in Figure $17$ .

Figure

17

: Output from TI-83/84 for IQ Score

There are no outliers.

Or using Outliers

$I Q R = Q 3 - Q 1 = 105 - 87 = 18$

${1.5}^{*} I Q R = {1.5}^{*} 18 = 27$

$Q 1 - 1.5 I Q R = 87 - 27 = 60$

$Q 3 + 1.5 I Q R = 105 + 27 = 132$

are any numbers greater than 132 and less than 60. Since the maximum number is 127 and the minimum is 67, there are no outliers.

d. The normal quantile plot is in Figure $18$ .

Figure

18

: Normal Quantile Plot

This graph looks fairly linear.

e. Considering the histogram is somewhat symmetric, there are no outliers, and the normal probability plot looks linear, then the conclusion is that this sample is from a population that is normally distributed.

Homework

Your Turn

Cholesterol data was collected on patients four days after having a heart attack. The data is in Example $3$ . Determine if the data is from a population that is normally distributed.
Table $3$ : Cholesterol Data Collected Four Days After a Heart Attack
218 234 214 116 200 276 146
182 238 288 190 236 244 258
240 294 220 200 220 186 352
202 218 248 278 248 270 242
The size of fish is very important to commercial fishing. A study conducted in 2012 collected the lengths of Atlantic cod caught in nets in Karlskrona (Ovegard, Berndt & Lunneryd, 2012). Data based on information from the study is in Example $4$ . Determine if the data is from a population that is normally distributed.
Table $4$ : Atlantic Cod Lengths
48 50 50 55 53 50 49 52
61 48 45 47 53 46 50 48
42 44 50 60 54 48 50 49
53 48 52 56 46 46 47 48
48 49 52 47 51 48 45 47
The WHO MONICA Project collected blood pressure data for people in China (Kuulasmaa, Hense & Tolonen, 1998). Data based on information from the study is in Example $5$ . Determine if the data is from a population that is normally distributed.
Table $5$ : Blood Pressure Values for People in China
114 141 154 137 131 132 133 156 119
138 86 122 112 114 177 128 137 140
171 129 127 104 97 135 107 136 118
92 182 150 142 97 140 106 76 115
119 125 162 80 138 124 132 143 119

Annual rainfalls for Sydney, Australia are given in Example

6

. ("Annual maximums of," 2013). Can you assume rainfall is normally distributed?

Table $6$ : Annual Rainfall in Sydney, Australia
146.8	383	90.9	178.1	267.5	95.5	156.5	180
90.9	139.7	200.2	171.7	187.2	184.9	70.1	58
84.1	55.6	133.1	271.8	135.9	71.9	99.4	110.6
47.5	97.8	122.7	58.4	154.4	173.7	118.8	88
84.6	171.5	254.3	185.9	137.2	138.9	96.2	85
45.2	74.7	264.9	113.8	133.4	68.1	156.4

Answer

1. Normally distributed

3. Normally distributed

83	51	87	60	28	95	8	27
15	10	18	16	29	54	91	8
17	55	10	35	47	77	36	17
21	36	18	40	10	7	34	27
28	56	8	25	68	146	89	18
73	69	9	37	10	82	29	8
60	61	61	18	169	25	8	26
11	83	11	42	17	14	9	12

78	92	96	100	67	105	109	75	127	111
93	114	82	100	125	67	94	74	81	98
102	108	81	96	103	91	90	96	86	92
84	92	90	103	115	93	85	116	87	106
85	88	106	104	102	98	116	107	102	89

218	234	214	116	200	276	146
182	238	288	190	236	244	258
240	294	220	200	220	186	352
202	218	248	278	248	270	242

48	50	50	55	53	50	49	52
61	48	45	47	53	46	50	48
42	44	50	60	54	48	50	49
53	48	52	56	46	46	47	48
48	49	52	47	51	48	45	47

114	141	154	137	131	132	133	156	119
138	86	122	112	114	177	128	137	140
171	129	127	104	97	135	107	136	118
92	182	150	142	97	140	106	76	115
119	125	162	80	138	124	132	143	119

83	51	87	60	28	95	8	27
15	10	18	16	29	54	91	8
17	55	10	35	47	77	36	17
21	36	18	40	10	7	34	27
28	56	8	25	68	146	89	18
73	69	9	37	10	82	29	8
60	61	61	18	169	25	8	26
11	83	11	42	17	14	9	12

78	92	96	100	67	105	109	75	127	111
93	114	82	100	125	67	94	74	81	98
102	108	81	96	103	91	90	96	86	92
84	92	90	103	115	93	85	116	87	106
85	88	106	104	102	98	116	107	102	89

218	234	214	116	200	276	146
182	238	288	190	236	244	258
240	294	220	200	220	186	352
202	218	248	278	248	270	242

48	50	50	55	53	50	49	52
61	48	45	47	53	46	50	48
42	44	50	60	54	48	50	49
53	48	52	56	46	46	47	48
48	49	52	47	51	48	45	47

114	141	154	137	131	132	133	156	119
138	86	122	112	114	177	128	137	140
171	129	127	104	97	135	107	136	118
92	182	150	142	97	140	106	76	115
119	125	162	80	138	124	132	143	119

83	51	87	60	28	95	8	27
15	10	18	16	29	54	91	8
17	55	10	35	47	77	36	17
21	36	18	40	10	7	34	27
28	56	8	25	68	146	89	18
73	69	9	37	10	82	29	8
60	61	61	18	169	25	8	26
11	83	11	42	17	14	9	12

78	92	96	100	67	105	109	75	127	111
93	114	82	100	125	67	94	74	81	98
102	108	81	96	103	91	90	96	86	92
84	92	90	103	115	93	85	116	87	106
85	88	106	104	102	98	116	107	102	89

218	234	214	116	200	276	146
182	238	288	190	236	244	258
240	294	220	200	220	186	352
202	218	248	278	248	270	242

48	50	50	55	53	50	49	52
61	48	45	47	53	46	50	48
42	44	50	60	54	48	50	49
53	48	52	56	46	46	47	48
48	49	52	47	51	48	45	47

114	141	154	137	131	132	133	156	119
138	86	122	112	114	177	128	137	140
171	129	127	104	97	135	107	136	118
92	182	150	142	97	140	106	76	115
119	125	162	80	138	124	132	143	119